The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PNTG fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 7.0K · 3-mo avg 325.6K

The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG)

PNTGThe Pennant Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$40.57
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$42–43
center $42.74 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.48
6.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.12×
52-week range$22.26 – $42.74
Below high since 2019-41.4% · $69.56 high
Risk / reward0.38 : 1
Plan stop$37.45
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.0 fires under 35 · fires near $36.35
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple25.1× fwd · 43.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past60th pctile · 43.1× median
Free cash flow yield2.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.0
fires under 35 · fires near $36.35
vs 50-day
●
$39.49
above the line · fires near $39.85
Bollinger
●
$36.65
no lower pierce · fires near $36.27
VWAP 20
●
$39.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $39.70
Entry level
●
$40.57
level below · fires near $40.97
Put wall
●
$40.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.53
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file