Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) — Tobacco Products. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PMpeers & supply-chain relationships

PM fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.33M · 3-mo avg 4.51M

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)

PMPhilip Morris International Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~12% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 10/100 · Nov 9
$192.15
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$193–197
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $194.96 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume44% above normal1.44× its 20-day average
Past year's range$146.35 – $214.35lowest to highest price
From its peak9.9% belowpeak $214.35, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.13 to 1$0.13 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$179.48the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)41.0fires under 35 · fires near $185.64
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit21.4× next year28.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.6×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.0
fires under 35 · fires near $185.64
vs 50-day
✓
$194.80
at the line
Bollinger
✓
$193.71
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$202.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$192.15
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.39
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.44×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
3.31% yld
no ex-date on file