Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) — $111.70 +3.34%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ORApeers & supply-chain relationships

ORA fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.07M · Avg 930.1K
ORAOrmat Technologies, Inc.$111.70+3.34%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$111.14
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$114–116
center $114.86 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.51
6.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.16× · 1.07M vs 930.1K avg
52-week range$84.13 – $146.39
Below high since 2015-23.7% · $146.39 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$99.61
Max pain$110.00 options cluster
RSI 1457.7 fires under 35 · fires near $91.18
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$111.70
$89.36 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.7% · $119.21+6.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.7
fires under 35 · fires near $91.18
vs 50-day
$116.61
below the line
Bollinger
$93.44
no lower pierce · fires near $92.29
VWAP 20
$102.57
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $102.48
Entry level
$111.14
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$110.00
OI strike below · fires near $110.44
MACD
-0.25
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.16×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
9.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
USD 0.12
ex-date 2026-08-19
prices 15-min delayed