NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL) — Oil & Gas Midstream. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NGL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 220.0K · 3-mo avg 206.3K

NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL)

NGLNGL Energy Partners LPloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 50/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$15.02
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$16.87
center $16.87 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.09
7.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$5.80 – $19.06
Below high since 2015-57.7% · $35.66 high
Risk / reward1.21 : 1
Plan stop$13.64
Max pain$10.00 options cluster
RSI 1432.4 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.8× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield7.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
32.4
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$16.79
below the line
Bollinger
●
$14.98
no lower pierce · fires near $14.93
VWAP 20
✓
$17.32
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.02
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$10.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.28
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file