Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:17 PM ETVol 463.9K · 3-mo avg 1.25M

Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA)

MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$24.34
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$25–26
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $25.63 · Nov 9
±$0.05
±0.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume10% below normal0.90× its 20-day average
Past year's range$20.90 – $31.00lowest to highest price
From its peak21.1% belowpeak $31.00, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.86 to 1$0.86 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$22.84the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$30.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)67.4fires under 35 · fires near $20.01
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.5× next year17.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.6×
Cash it generates5.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.4
fires under 35 · fires near $20.01
vs 50-day
●
$22.49
above the line · fires near $22.65
Bollinger
●
$20.65
no lower pierce · fires near $20.31
VWAP 20
●
$22.86
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $22.85
Entry level
✓
$24.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$30.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.14
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.90×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
1.15% yld
no ex-date on file