MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MTZ fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 3:45 PM ETVol 1.34M · 3-mo avg 1.57M

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ)

MTZMasTec, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 26/100 · Nov 9
$172.46
near the 52-week low, a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$204–211
near the top of its usual range, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $207.20 · Nov 6
±$20.54
±10.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume31% below normal0.69× its 20-day average
Past year's range$147.49 – $441.43lowest to highest price
From its peak60.6% belowpeak $441.43, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.37 to 1$0.37 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$137.06the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$185.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)41.1fires under 35 · fires near $175.53
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.2× next year30.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 20%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 57.9×
Cash it generates1.9%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 8.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.1
fires under 35 · fires near $175.53
vs 50-day
✓
$208.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$158.84
no lower pierce · fires near $153.65
VWAP 20
●
$181.13
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $180.95
Entry level
●
$172.46
level below · fires near $174.12
Put wall
●
$160.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.38
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file