McKesson Corporation (MCK) — Medical Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MCK fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 450.5K · 3-mo avg 1.03M

McKesson Corporation (MCK)

MCKMcKesson Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~17% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 44/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$862.31
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$868–878
center $872.90 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$35.53
4.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.49×
52-week range$714.00 – $999.00
Below high since 2015-13.2% · $999.00 high
Risk / reward0.13 : 1
Plan stop$819.37
Max pain$880.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.0 fires under 35 · fires near $822.37
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.6× fwd · 23.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past34th pctile · 25.3× median
Free cash flow yield5.2% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.0
fires under 35 · fires near $822.37
vs 50-day
✓
$872.78
at the line
Bollinger
●
$860.00
no lower pierce · fires near $857.70
VWAP 20
✓
$890.74
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$862.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$820.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-3.64
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.49×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$21.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
0.43% yld
no ex-date on file