Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) — Asset Management. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 575.7K · 3-mo avg 564.6K

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)

MAINMain Street Capital Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 46/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$54.49
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$56.07
center $56.07 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.02
3.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.06×
52-week range$48.95 – $66.05
Below high since 2015-19.2% · $67.77 high
Risk / reward0.29 : 1
Plan stop$51.74
Max pain$59.40 options cluster
RSI 1438.7 fires under 35 · fires near $54.39
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple14.5× fwd · 11.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past85th pctile · 9.9× median
Price / book1.76×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
38.7
fires under 35 · fires near $54.39
vs 50-day
✓
$56.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$54.62
no lower pierce · fires near $54.47
VWAP 20
✓
$56.67
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$54.49
level below · fires near $55.02
Put wall
✓
$55.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-22
MACD
Context●
-0.23
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.06×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.80
ex-date 2026-10-08