Macy's, Inc. (M) — Department Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

Mpeers & supply-chain relationships

M fair-value estimate

M earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.61M · 3-mo avg 6.22M

Macy's, Inc. (M)

MMacy's, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+8net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 15/100 · Nov 6
$22.96
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$24.00
near a heavy call-option level, the options pressure point and a round-number price · midpoint $24.00 · Nov 6
±$1.75
±7.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume7% below normal0.93× its 20-day average
Past year's range$16.69 – $26.59lowest to highest price
From its peak69.0% belowpeak $74.48, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.43 to 1$0.43 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$20.92the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$24.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)46.3fires under 35 · fires near $20.36
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.7× next year8.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 51%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.3×
Cash it generates11.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 4.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.3
fires under 35 · fires near $20.36
vs 50-day
✓
$22.90
at the line
Bollinger
●
$22.46
no lower pierce · fires near $22.28
VWAP 20
✓
$23.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$22.96
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$24.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-03
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.93×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-02
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.19
ex-date 2026-12-15