Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.92M · 3-mo avg 2.12M

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF)

JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 31/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$46.01
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$52–53
center $52.90 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.65
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.13×
52-week range$35.53 – $71.04
Below high since 2015-44.1% · $82.68 high
Risk / reward0.96 : 1
Plan stop$42.24
Max pain$52.50 options cluster
RSI 1427.0 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.5× fwd · 14.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past47th pctile · 16.9× median
Price / book0.92×

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
✓
27.0
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$53.37
below the line
Bollinger
●
$45.25
no lower pierce · fires near $44.55
VWAP 20
✓
$50.35
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$46.01
level below · fires near $46.47
Put wall
●
$42.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.13×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-09-28
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
3.36% yld
no ex-date on file