Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ITWpeers & supply-chain relationships

ITW fair-value estimate

ITW earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.01M · 3-mo avg 1.29M

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~32% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$270.64
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 + put wall · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$279–282
center $280.49 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.71
2.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.80×
52-week range$238.82 – $303.16
Below high since 2015-10.3% · $303.16 high
Risk / reward0.43 : 1
Plan stop$260.04
Max pain$270.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.8 fires under 35 · fires near $259.56
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple22.1× fwd · 24.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past53rd pctile · 23.8× median
Free cash flow yield3.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
51.8
fires under 35 · fires near $259.56
vs 50-day
✓
$279.74
below the line
Bollinger
●
$260.40
no lower pierce · fires near $258.28
VWAP 20
●
$270.58
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $270.49
Entry level
●
$270.64
level below · fires near $273.27
Put wall
●
$270.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.81
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.80×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.67
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-23
in 20 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.61
ex-date 2026-09-30