Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ITWpeers & supply-chain relationships

ITW fair-value estimate

ITW earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:45 PM ETVol 350.7K · 3-mo avg 1.29M

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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$285.30
near a support level · Nov 9
$298–302
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $299.98 · Nov 9
±$0.32
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume61% below normal0.39× its 20-day average
Past year's range$238.82 – $303.16lowest to highest price
From its peak5.4% belowpeak $303.16, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.70 to 1$0.70 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$269.39the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$195.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)58.9fires under 35 · fires near $255.03
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit23.3× next year25.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 79%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 23.8×
Cash it generates3.3%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.9
fires under 35 · fires near $255.03
vs 50-day
●
$271.23
above the line · fires near $273.35
Bollinger
●
$264.34
no lower pierce · fires near $261.86
VWAP 20
●
$278.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $278.38
Entry level
✓
$285.30
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$195.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.64
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.39×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.72
ex-date 2026-12-31