Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH) — Financial Conglomerates. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 322.9K · 3-mo avg 289.8K

Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH)

HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$36.74
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$37–38
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level, a round-number price, the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $37.40 · Nov 9
±$4.97
±13.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 1% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
57% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 1% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume2% above normal1.02× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.75 – $40.41lowest to highest price
From its peak9.4% belowpeak $40.74, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.22 to 1$0.22 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$34.73the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$35.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)49.9fires under 35 · fires near $34.43
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit14.9× next year13.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 35%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 14.7×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $34.43
vs 50-day
✓
$37.40
below the line
Bollinger
●
$35.79
no lower pierce · fires near $35.54
VWAP 20
●
$36.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $36.69
Entry level
✓
$36.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$30.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
0.00
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
2.17% yld
no ex-date on file