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Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Fair Value

Fair value is a rough estimate of what a share is worth on its fundamentals, next to today’s price. Two estimates feed it — earnings at the company’s own multiple, and a cash-flow DCF on forecast free cash flow — and a single figure is shown when the two sit within 3x of each other, a range when they do not, one estimate when only one could be computed, and nothing when a name has no analyst coverage. A Graham-number floor and the analysts’ mean target sit beside it. The wider they disagree, the less any one figure should be trusted. It is an input to your own view, never a trigger.

How we compute fair value ↗

Model fair value

$16.39price $24.62 · −33.43% vs price

Street mean target $25.93 (21 analysts)

The model sits below today's price; analysts' mean target sits near it.

Geometric mean of the two estimates · Graham number reported as a floor only

Earnings at the company's own multiple

Next-fiscal-year consensus EPS × 10x (consensus-growth rule)

Revenue CAGR
+7.61%
Fair value estimate$13.79

Cash-flow DCF on forecast free cash flow

Free-cash-flow conversion 1.20, growth -20% fading to 2.5%, discount rate 8% (floored)

Revenue CAGR
+7.61%
Discount rate
+8.00%
Terminal growth
+2.50%
Fair value estimate$19.48

Graham number (deep-value floor)

Revenue CAGR
+7.61%
Fair value estimate$15.65

Consensus as of 2026-10-28.

Reverse DCF on forecast free cash flow

At today’s price, the market is implying roughly −3.25% annual growth in forecast free cash flow over the projection window. Higher than you find credible means the price already prices in a lot.

Fair value is not meaningful for banks or unprofitable companies, where the cash-flow model breaks down — those are marked unavailable rather than shown as a misleading figure. Every figure on this page is code-computed from public filings. QTick presents data-driven observations for self-directed research; nothing here is a recommendation or investment advice.