The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) — Home Improvement Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.52M · 3-mo avg 4.64M

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)

HDThe Home Depot, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$341.75
near a recent low, a support level, the 200-day average and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$387–392
near the 52-week high · midpoint $389.18 · Nov 6
±$17.93
±5.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume16% above normal1.16× its 20-day average
Past year's range$277.15 – $397.63lowest to highest price
From its peak21.8% belowpeak $439.37, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.01 to 1$2.01 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$320.71the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$320.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)64.2fires under 35 · fires near $273.07
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit21.5× next year24.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 65%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 22.8×
Cash it generates3.7%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
64.2
fires under 35 · fires near $273.07
vs 50-day
●
$309.20
above the line · fires near $311.43
Bollinger
●
$286.18
no lower pierce · fires near $280.29
VWAP 20
●
$322.46
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $322.26
Entry level
✓
$341.75
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$340.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+3.38
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.16×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$10.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 7 sessions
Next dividend
2.71% yld
no ex-date on file