The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) — Home Improvement Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

HDpeers & supply-chain relationships

HD fair-value estimate

HD earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 1:41 PM ETVol 8.02M · 3-mo avg 4.02M

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)

HDThe Home Depot, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~5% bigger swingsRiskFalling knife · 81/100 · was 57 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-180/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$301.00
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$329–332
center $330.42 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.08
4.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.92× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.12×
52-week range$289.10 – $418.58
Below high since 2015-31.1% · $439.37 high
Risk / reward1.64 : 1
Plan stop$283.03
Max pain$320.00 options cluster
RSI 1431.3 washed out
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple18.7× fwd · 21.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past35th pctile · 23.0× median
Free cash flow yield4.2% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
31.3
washed out
vs 50-day
$330.48
below the line
Bollinger
$296.92
no lower pierce · fires near $295.97
VWAP 20
$318.92
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$301.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$295.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-1.43
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.99
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 42 sessions
Next dividend
3.11% yld
no ex-date on file