Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) — Coking Coal Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HCCpeers & supply-chain relationships

HCC fair-value estimate

HCC earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 325.2K · 3-mo avg 705.6K

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)

HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$91.34
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 3.7% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$110–113
center $111.42 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.04
6.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.07×
52-week range$54.66 – $111.20
Below high since 2017-17.6% · $111.42 high
Risk / reward1.97 : 1
Plan stop$81.17
Max pain$90.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.3 fires under 35 · fires near $84.38
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.5× fwd · 25.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past81st pctile · 7.7× median
Free cash flow yield-1.8% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
38.3
fires under 35 · fires near $84.38
vs 50-day
$92.63
below the line
Bollinger
$91.70
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$102.23
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$91.34
below the model level
Put wall
$90.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.28
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.07×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.43
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
0.36% yld
no ex-date on file