Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) — Coking Coal Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HCCpeers & supply-chain relationships

HCC earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 836.2K · 3-mo avg 634.0K

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)

HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 73/100 · was 63 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$83.73
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$89–91
near a round-number price, the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $90.40 · Nov 6
±$6.56
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 8% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 8% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume19% above normal1.19× its 20-day average
Past year's range$71.80 – $111.42lowest to highest price
From its peak24.5% belowpeak $111.42, highest since 2017
Gain vs. risk0.73 to 1$0.73 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$75.63the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$85.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.2fires under 35 · fires near $79.84
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.8× next year19.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 66%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.9×
Cash it generates-2.3%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.2
fires under 35 · fires near $79.84
vs 50-day
✓
$91.41
below the line
Bollinger
●
$78.06
no lower pierce · fires near $76.68
VWAP 20
✓
$85.33
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$83.73
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$45.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.08
ex-date 2026-11-09