Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

GRDNpeers & supply-chain relationships

GRDN fair-value estimate

GRDN earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 720.6K · 3-mo avg 484.9K

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN)

GRDNGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$41.00
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$42–43
center $42.11 · basis · daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.94
9.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.99×
52-week range$23.14 – $48.33
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward0.20 : 1
Plan stop$36.66
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.7 fires under 35 · fires near $37.25
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple30.0× fwd · 41.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past66th pctile · 48.5× median
Free cash flow yield3.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.7
fires under 35 · fires near $37.25
vs 50-day
●
$40.79
above the line · fires near $41.17
Bollinger
●
$36.60
no lower pierce · fires near $35.56
VWAP 20
✓
$43.38
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$41.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$50.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.99×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.98
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 32 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file