Graham Holdings Company (GHC) — Industrial Conglomerates. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GHC fair-value estimate

GHC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 29.7K · 3-mo avg 29.5K

Graham Holdings Company (GHC)

GHCGraham Holdings Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,149.12
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$1,161–1,173
center $1,166.92 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.78×
52-week range$929.76 – $1,262.35
Below high since 2015-8.5% · $1,262.35 high
Risk / reward0.21 : 1
Plan stop$1,098.17
Max pain—
RSI 1452.1 fires under 35 · fires near $1,088.58
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.2× fwd · 9.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past59th pctile · 15.9× median
Free cash flow yield5.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.1
fires under 35 · fires near $1,088.58
vs 50-day
✓
$1,163.30
at the line
Bollinger
●
$1,104.59
no lower pierce · fires near $1,098.53
VWAP 20
●
$1,137.98
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,137.84
Entry level
✓
$1,149.12
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+2.92
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$25.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.88
ex-date 2026-10-15