Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) — Asset Management. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 445.6K · 3-mo avg 1.31M

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC)

GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 3/100 · Nov 9
$12.64
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$13.25
near the 52-week high · midpoint $13.25 · Nov 9
±$0.03
±0.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume10% below normal0.90× its 20-day average
Past year's range$11.77 – $14.41lowest to highest price
From its peak37.2% belowpeak $20.24, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.02 to 1$1.02 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$12.11the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$10.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)55.3fires under 35 · fires near $11.53
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.0× next year19.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 90%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.6×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.3
fires under 35 · fires near $11.53
vs 50-day
●
$12.45
above the line · fires near $12.56
Bollinger
●
$11.71
no lower pierce · fires near $11.57
VWAP 20
●
$12.43
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $12.42
Entry level
✓
$12.64
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$10.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.02
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.90×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.26
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 5 sessions
Next dividend
10.41% yld
no ex-date on file