Fresenius Medical Care AG (FMS) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FMSpeers & supply-chain relationships

FMS earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.09M · 3-mo avg 962.1K

Fresenius Medical Care AG (FMS)

FMSFresenius Medical Care AGloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$23.28
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$26–27
near the 52-week high · midpoint $26.42 · Nov 6
±$1.96
±8.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume22% below normal0.78× its 20-day average
Past year's range$20.02 – $26.42lowest to highest price
From its peak59.8% belowpeak $58.21, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.98 to 1$1.98 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$21.87the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$22.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)58.2fires under 35 · fires near $19.40
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.6× next year13.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 25%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.3×
Cash it generates14.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.2
fires under 35 · fires near $19.40
vs 50-day
●
$22.34
above the line · fires near $22.52
Bollinger
●
$20.87
no lower pierce · fires near $20.64
VWAP 20
●
$22.18
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $22.16
Entry level
✓
$23.28
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$20.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.16
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.65
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-23
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
3.72% yld
no ex-date on file