Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FIX fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:01 PM ETVol 227.8K · 3-mo avg 428.6K

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX)

FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~13% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,650.62
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$1,662–1,698
center $1,680.00 · basis · call wall · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$124.58
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.69×
52-week range$770.47 – $2,073.99
Below high since 2015-20.0% · $2,073.99 high
Risk / reward0.12 : 1
Plan stop$1,484.90
Max pain$1,680.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.9 fires under 35 · fires near $1,433.47
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple27.6× fwd · 40.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past83rd pctile · 27.1× median
Free cash flow yield1.8% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.9
fires under 35 · fires near $1,433.47
vs 50-day
✓
$1,664.37
at the line
Bollinger
●
$1,518.31
no lower pierce · fires near $1,503.74
VWAP 20
●
$1,601.48
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,600.35
Entry level
✓
$1,650.62
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,460.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+10.78
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$70.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
0.22% yld
no ex-date on file
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