Ferrovial N.V. (FER) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FER fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.46M · 3-mo avg 1.46M

Ferrovial N.V. (FER)

FERFerrovial N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~20% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 9/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$55.55
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$60.89
center $60.89 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.08×
52-week range$53.91 – $74.79
Below high since 2023-25.4% · $74.79 high
Risk / reward1.89 : 1
Plan stop$53.15
Max pain—
RSI 1438.6 fires under 35 · fires near $55.29
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple41.2× fwd · 58.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past54th pctile · 45.6× median
Free cash flow yield4.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
38.6
fires under 35 · fires near $55.29
vs 50-day
✓
$60.91
below the line
Bollinger
●
$53.55
no lower pierce · fires near $53.03
VWAP 20
✓
$56.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$55.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.12
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.01
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
2.97% yld
no ex-date on file