Energy Transfer LP (ET) — $20.59 +2.29%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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ET fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 11.35M · Avg 9.43M
ETEnergy Transfer LP$20.59+2.29%

WAIT.

Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$20.49
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit
at new highs
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~46% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.20× · 11.35M vs 9.43M avg
52-week range$16.18 – $20.81
Below high since 2015-42.8% · $36.01 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$19.47
Max pain
RSI 1467.5 fires under 35 · fires near $18.09
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$20.59
$17.99 · -12.6%-12.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.3% · $21.26+3.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
67.5
fires under 35 · fires near $18.09
vs 50-day
$19.35
above the line · fires near $19.52
Bollinger
$19.53
no lower pierce · fires near $19.29
VWAP 20
$20.01
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $20.01
Entry level
$20.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.20×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 85 days
Next dividend
6.61% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed