Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) — Insurance Brokers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:16 PM ETVol 57.9K · 3-mo avg 239.3K

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

ERIEErie Indemnity Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 6 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$269.17
near a support level · Nov 9
$292–297
near the 52-week high · midpoint $294.66 · Nov 9
±$0.08
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
High
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume46% below normal0.54× its 20-day average
Past year's range$204.63 – $301.61lowest to highest price
From its peak50.5% belowpeak $547.00, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.74 to 1$0.74 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$249.34the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$270.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.4fires under 35 · fires near $221.76
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.7× next year25.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 25%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 31.6×

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.4
fires under 35 · fires near $221.76
vs 50-day
●
$242.51
above the line · fires near $244.03
Bollinger
●
$223.54
no lower pierce · fires near $218.10
VWAP 20
●
$256.98
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $256.80
Entry level
●
$269.17
level below · fires near $271.77
Put wall
●
$210.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+3.39
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
9.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-22
in 69 sessions
Next dividend
2.12% yld
no ex-date on file