EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 306.1K · 3-mo avg 411.9K

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)

EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 78/100 · was 92 on Nov 5 · Nov 101/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$649.63
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.7% below it
$699–717
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $708.36 · Nov 9
±$49.04
±7.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume1% above normal1.01× its 20-day average
Past year's range$564.92 – $951.96lowest to highest price
From its peak31.4% belowpeak $951.96, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.81 to 1$0.81 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$577.27the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$680.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)42.6fires under 35 · fires near $607.00
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.6× next year18.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 34%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.7×
Cash it generates4.2%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
42.6
fires under 35 · fires near $607.00
vs 50-day
✓
$729.36
below the line
Bollinger
●
$597.09
no lower pierce · fires near $586.62
VWAP 20
✓
$669.77
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$649.63
below the model level
Put wall
●
$620.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-2.76
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.01×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$36.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
0.25% yld
no ex-date on file