EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:25 AM ETVol 160.2K · 3-mo avg 425.7K

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)

EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~19% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$748.20
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$762–775
center $768.51 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$42.92
5.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 1% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 1% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$564.92 – $951.96
Below high since 2015-21.0% · $951.96 high
Risk / reward0.12 : 1
Plan stop$699.08
Max pain$760.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.7 fires under 35 · fires near $699.09
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple20.4× fwd · 23.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past60th pctile · 20.4× median
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
47.7
fires under 35 · fires near $699.09
vs 50-day
✓
$770.64
below the line
Bollinger
●
$721.66
no lower pierce · fires near $716.26
VWAP 20
●
$748.73
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $748.59
Entry level
●
$748.20
level below · fires near $755.37
Put wall
✓
$760.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+2.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$24.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
0.21% yld
no ex-date on file