Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ECG fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 50.2K · 3-mo avg 601.7K

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG)

ECGEverus Construction Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 37/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$112.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$121–123
center $122.14 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.73
8.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.99×
52-week range$76.55 – $171.58
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward0.57 : 1
Plan stop$102.48
Max pain$115.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.9 fires under 35 · fires near $108.81
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple19.5× fwd · 23.6× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
41.9
fires under 35 · fires near $108.81
vs 50-day
$126.79
below the line
Bollinger
$108.07
no lower pierce · fires near $106.54
VWAP 20
$117.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$112.77
level below · fires near $113.86
Put wall
$115.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.02
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.99×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.15
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file