Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) — Waste Management. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CWSTpeers & supply-chain relationships

CWST fair-value estimate

CWST earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:01 PM ETVol 517.0K · 3-mo avg 572.3K

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST)

CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-8net
0 bull / 5 bear factors · moderate
Bull 1 pts·Bear 9 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$98.52
near a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 4.1% below it
$107–109
near the 52-week high · midpoint $107.96 · Nov 9
±$8.20
±8.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume3% above normal1.03× its 20-day average
Past year's range$74.05 – $107.96lowest to highest price
From its peak18.3% belowpeak $121.24, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.21 to 1$1.21 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$90.75the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$100.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.0fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit928.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 95%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 307.8×
Cash it generates1.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 38% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.0
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$89.34
above the line · fires near $90.05
Bollinger
●
$82.36
no lower pierce · fires near $80.29
VWAP 20
●
$92.54
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $92.52
Entry level
✓
$98.52
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.31
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.03×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.65
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file