Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CONpeers & supply-chain relationships

CON fair-value estimate

CON earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 571.4K · 3-mo avg 953.9K

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON)

CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 8/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$34.83
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$36–37
center $36.71 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$18.55 – $36.71
Below high since 2024-4.6% · $36.71 high
Risk / reward0.71 : 1
Plan stop$32.62
Max pain—
RSI 1454.5 fires under 35 · fires near $32.07
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple19.0× fwd · 22.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past100th pctile · 16.7× median
Free cash flow yield4.4% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.5
fires under 35 · fires near $32.07
vs 50-day
●
$33.74
above the line · fires near $34.06
Bollinger
●
$33.35
no lower pierce · fires near $33.08
VWAP 20
●
$34.96
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $34.95
Entry level
✓
$34.83
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.13
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.94
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
0.71% yld
no ex-date on file