Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.05M · 3-mo avg 1.04M

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON)

CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$42.19
near a support level · Nov 9
$44–45
near the 52-week high · midpoint $44.22 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume23% below normal0.77× its 20-day average
Past year's range$18.55 – $42.40lowest to highest price
From its peak4.1% belowpeak $44.22, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk0.63 to 1$0.63 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$39.53the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)67.0fires under 35 · fires near $34.10
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit23.0× next year27.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.7×
Cash it generates3.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.0
fires under 35 · fires near $34.10
vs 50-day
●
$37.16
above the line · fires near $37.40
Bollinger
●
$36.84
no lower pierce · fires near $36.33
VWAP 20
●
$40.14
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $40.11
Entry level
✓
$42.19
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.17
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.33
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
0.59% yld
no ex-date on file