Compass, Inc. (COMP) — $12.40 −1.43%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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COMP fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.67M · Avg 13.75M
COMPCompass, Inc.$12.40-1.43%

WAIT.

Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$12.34
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13.00
center $13.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.80
14.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Pullback risk
In line
~96% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Volume vs 20-day avg0.41× · 5.67M vs 13.75M avg
52-week range$6.37 – $13.96
Below high since 2021-43.9% · $22.11 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.5
Plan stop$10.98
Max pain$9.00 options cluster
RSI 1459.0 fires under 35 · fires near $9.34
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$12.40
$9.28 · -25.1%-25.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+14.5% · $14.20+14.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
59.0
fires under 35 · fires near $9.34
vs 50-day
$10.76
above the line · fires near $10.82
Bollinger
$10.77
no lower pierce · fires near $10.57
VWAP 20
$11.95
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $11.93
Entry level
$12.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$10.00
OI strike below · fires near $10.04
MACD
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.41×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed