Cummins Inc. (CMI) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CMIpeers & supply-chain relationships

CMI fair-value estimate

CMI earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.72M · 3-mo avg 1.03M

Cummins Inc. (CMI)

CMICummins Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500CautionHeavy selling · 70/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$521.26
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$593–601
center $596.68 · basis · bb upper + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.06× the norm · 71% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.46×
52-week range$400.72 – $737.76
Below high since 2015-29.0% · $737.76 high
Risk / reward1.51 : 1
Plan stop$489.54
Max pain
RSI 1431.9 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.4× fwd · 27.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past93rd pctile · 16.2× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 75% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
31.9
washed out
vs 50-day
$606.73
below the line
Bollinger
$522.97
no lower pierce · fires near $520.33
VWAP 20
$557.30
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$521.26
level below · fires near $526.28
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.30
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.46×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.86
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
1.65% yld
no ex-date on file