Cummins Inc. (CMI) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CMIpeers & supply-chain relationships

CMI fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:02 PM ETVol 1.38M · 3-mo avg 1.15M

Cummins Inc. (CMI)

CMICummins Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatInflation-report days · swings like the S&P 500OKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 45/100 · Nov 9
$464.14
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 9
$518–527
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $522.46 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume5% below normal0.95× its 20-day average
Past year's range$443.62 – $737.76lowest to highest price
From its peak36.8% belowpeak $737.76, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.49 to 1$1.49 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$428.90the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)33.2washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.7× next year19.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 83%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.5×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
33.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$524.73
below the line
Bollinger
●
$453.83
no lower pierce · fires near $449.95
VWAP 20
✓
$501.90
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$464.14
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-6.39
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$17.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
1.89% yld
no ex-date on file