BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) — Health Information Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BTSG fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.48M · 3-mo avg 2.50M

BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG)

BTSGBrightSpring Health Services, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 1/100 · Nov 6
$66.81
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$69–71
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $69.95 · Nov 6
±$5.47
±8.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume2% below normal0.98× its 20-day average
Past year's range$30.64 – $73.75lowest to highest price
From its peak8.9% belowpeak $73.75, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk0.44 to 1$0.44 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$60.76the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$65.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.4fires under 35 · fires near $52.84
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit27.6× next year47.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 53%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 46.6×
Cash it generates3.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.4
fires under 35 · fires near $52.84
vs 50-day
●
$60.76
above the line · fires near $61.17
Bollinger
●
$56.40
no lower pierce · fires near $55.19
VWAP 20
●
$64.16
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $64.07
Entry level
✓
$66.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$65.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.65
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.98×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-26
in 75 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file