Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 253.8K · 3-mo avg 367.5K

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX)

AXAxos Financial, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$88.14
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$96–97
center $96.88 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.51
10.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 56% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.70×
52-week range$74.89 – $105.74
Below high since 2015-16.2% · $105.74 high
Risk / reward1.74 : 1
Plan stop$83.70
Max pain$95.00 options cluster
RSI 1431.1 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.2× fwd · 10.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past66th pctile · 9.7× median
Price / book1.87×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 78% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
31.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$97.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$87.87
no lower pierce · fires near $87.63
VWAP 20
✓
$93.18
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$88.14
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$95.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.64
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.70×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file