Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) — Gold Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AUGO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 9:53 AM ETVol 487.7K · 3-mo avg 1.04M

Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO)

AUGOAura Minerals Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$82.65
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$107–109
center $108.18 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.95
9.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.43×
52-week range$29.11 – $110.32
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward2.48 : 1
Plan stop$73.64
Max pain$85.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.8 fires under 35 · fires near $70.09
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.4× fwd · 23.6× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1.8% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.8
fires under 35 · fires near $70.09
vs 50-day
●
$75.46
above the line · fires near $76.05
Bollinger
●
$80.41
no lower pierce · fires near $79.51
VWAP 20
✓
$86.09
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$82.65
level below · fires near $83.40
Put wall
✓
$85.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-1.04
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.43×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
14.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
3.16% yld
no ex-date on file