Accelerant Holdings (ARX) — Insurance Brokers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:17 PM ETVol 140.2K · 3-mo avg 3.27M

Accelerant Holdings (ARX)

ARXAccelerant Holdingsloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$19.78
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
—
at new highs, nothing above to aim for
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
58% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume74% below normal0.26× its 20-day average
Past year's range$9.18 – $19.90lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Plan fails below$19.57the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)69.3fires under 35 · fires near $19.47
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit21.2× next year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
69.3
fires under 35 · fires near $19.47
vs 50-day
✓
$19.78
at the line
Bollinger
●
$19.72
no lower pierce · fires near $19.70
VWAP 20
●
$19.80
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $19.80
Entry level
✓
$19.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.02
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.26×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file