Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) — Gold Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ARISpeers & supply-chain relationships

ARIS fair-value estimate

ARIS earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.31M · 3-mo avg 1.53M

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS)

ARISAris Mining Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 11/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$18.84
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$23–24
center $23.29 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.90×
52-week range$8.75 – $23.29
Below high since 2023-18.7% · $23.29 high
Risk / reward2.31 : 1
Plan stop$17.04
Max pain—
RSI 1449.9 fires under 35 · fires near $15.81
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple6.4× fwd · 13.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past2nd pctile · 53.7× median
Free cash flow yield3.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $15.81
vs 50-day
●
$17.81
above the line · fires near $17.97
Bollinger
●
$18.10
no lower pierce · fires near $17.89
VWAP 20
✓
$19.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$18.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.19
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.90×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file