Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) — Asset Management. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.13M · 3-mo avg 4.48M

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

ARCCAres Capital Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 3/100 · Nov 6
$19.03
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$19.83
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $19.83 · Nov 6
±$0.74
±3.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
51% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume12% below normal0.88× its 20-day average
Past year's range$17.40 – $21.14lowest to highest price
From its peak19.8% belowpeak $23.84, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.80 to 1$0.80 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$18.25the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$19.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.3fires under 35 · fires near $17.59
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.9× next year15.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 96%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.3×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.3
fires under 35 · fires near $17.59
vs 50-day
✓
$19.05
at the line
Bollinger
●
$18.15
no lower pierce · fires near $18.03
VWAP 20
●
$18.85
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $18.84
Entry level
✓
$19.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$18.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.09
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-03
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.48
ex-date 2026-12-15