A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AOSpeers & supply-chain relationships

AOS fair-value estimate

AOS earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.04M · 3-mo avg 1.53M

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)

AOSA. O. Smith Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$64.23
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$80–81
near a heavy call-option level and the 52-week high · midpoint $80.22 · Nov 6
±$3.90
±6.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume11% above normal1.11× its 20-day average
Past year's range$54.16 – $81.87lowest to highest price
From its peak30.2% belowpeak $92.45, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.42 to 1$3.42 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$59.96the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$60.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.7fires under 35 · fires near $52.14
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit17.1× next year18.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 35%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 19.2×
Cash it generates6.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.7
fires under 35 · fires near $52.14
vs 50-day
●
$58.97
above the line · fires near $59.38
Bollinger
●
$55.26
no lower pierce · fires near $53.97
VWAP 20
●
$61.67
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $61.61
Entry level
✓
$64.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$90.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.51
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.11×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.13
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 55 sessions
Next dividend
2.35% yld
no ex-date on file