Argan, Inc. (AGX) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 272.1K · 3-mo avg 360.3K

Argan, Inc. (AGX)

AGXArgan, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 59/100 · Nov 9
$300.28
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 9
$365–377
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $371.15 · Nov 9
±$37.70
±12.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume15% below normal0.85× its 20-day average
Past year's range$252.88 – $805.75lowest to highest price
From its peak62.0% belowpeak $805.75, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.91 to 1$0.91 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$234.80the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$380.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)40.7fires under 35 · fires near $286.09
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.0× next year24.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 42%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 24.9×
Cash it generates9.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 10.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.7
fires under 35 · fires near $286.09
vs 50-day
✓
$369.51
below the line
Bollinger
●
$275.63
no lower pierce · fires near $266.58
VWAP 20
✓
$332.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$300.28
level below · fires near $303.20
Put wall
✓
$380.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-3.80
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$24.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
0.91% yld
no ex-date on file