The AES Corporation (AES) — Diversified Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AESpeers & supply-chain relationships

AES fair-value estimate

AES earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:44 AM ETVol 5.11M · 3-mo avg 7.79M

The AES Corporation (AES)

AESThe AES Corporationloading…
loading…
QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$14.80
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$15.00
center $15.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.12
0.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.68×
52-week range$12.97 – $17.65
Below high since 2015-50.6% · $30.10 high
Risk / reward0.56 : 1
Plan stop$14.64
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1466.5 fires under 35 · fires near $14.64
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple6.3× fwd · 5.6× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-15.3% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
66.5
fires under 35 · fires near $14.64
vs 50-day
✓
$14.74
at the line
Bollinger
●
$14.74
no lower pierce · fires near $14.73
VWAP 20
●
$14.81
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $14.81
Entry level
✓
$14.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$15.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
0.00
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.68×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.04
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
4.71% yld
no ex-date on file