The AES Corporation (AES) — Diversified Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:46 PM ETVol 2.28M · 3-mo avg 8.49M

The AES Corporation (AES)

AESThe AES Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$14.83
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$17.03
near the 52-week high · midpoint $17.03 · Nov 9
±$0.02
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
47% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume62% below normal0.38× its 20-day average
Past year's range$13.28 – $17.65lowest to highest price
From its peak50.5% belowpeak $30.10, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk8.46 to 1$8.46 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$14.66the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$12.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.1fires under 35 · fires near $14.37
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.3× next year6.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 8%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.1×
Cash it generates-15.3%it used more cash than it made

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.1
fires under 35 · fires near $14.37
vs 50-day
●
$14.74
above the line · fires near $14.87
Bollinger
●
$14.75
no lower pierce · fires near $14.67
VWAP 20
●
$14.83
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $14.82
Entry level
✓
$14.83
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$12.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
0.00
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.38×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-01
in 74 sessions
Next dividend
4.69% yld
no ex-date on file