No overseas listings — SKY trades on its home exchange only.
Track record · free & ungated
We grade our price-band calls in public
Each forward price band is logged the day it's set and scored when it resolves — misses included. None are due yet, so there's no hit-rate to show: this builds in the open, not behind the paywall.
3
bands logged
0
resolved so far
Building
status
The calibration ledger stays free, always — a track record can't sit behind a paywall.
Price action
Price & quote
Live quote refreshed every 15 minutes against the full daily snapshot.
The readHolding bidfact
Where the price sits inside today's range and its 52-week range, plus how it's performed over time. This is the raw quote — the same number everywhere, just faster.
Tap & drag the chart for daily OHLCV · 0 sessions · prev close $81.95 (dashed)
Open●
$73.47
Prev close●
$81.95
Volume●
44.5K
avg 634.2K
Rel. volume◐
0.07×
below normal
Market cap●
$3.93B
Shares out●
54.89M
float 54.00M
Day range
$70.64$73.81
52-week range ◐
$59.44$99.17
-16.8% from high+38.7% above low
The QTick signal
QTick proprietary signal
A transparent point tally — bull evidence minus bear evidence — read over ~30 days. Faster factors time the swing; slower ones (quality, 13F, forensics) weigh in as longer-horizon context. A model-based prior, not advice.
~30-day swing read · graded vs S&Puncalibrated prior · track record buildingstrength is the tally magnitude, not a probability
Price-factor lean — not shown at this market cap (these factors carry no validated edge above small-cap).
Where this is validated: survivorship-free factor study (micro/small caps only), |t|>3.2. Cohort-relative ranking, not a price forecast or buy/sell advice. Calibration tracked live.
Bullish
+6
net · moderate
Factor breakdown 8 factors · signed points sum to net +6●
Analyst moves90d—
Earnings4 quarters+3 pts
latest EPS beat by 10%
Insider flow120d—
Estimate revisionsWeeks—
Sentiment1–30d—
Longer-horizon context weighs the read · not a 30-day timing call
Institutional (13F)Latest 13F+1 pts
1 institutional holder(s) added/opened last quarter
Quality / valueTTM+2 pts
strong Piotroski F-score (8/9)
Filing forensicsLatest FY—
Risk flagsDaily—
Net tally
+6
6 bull − 0 bear
Factors agreeing
3↑ 0↓
of 9 tracked
Read strength
moderate
30d horizon
Strongest factor
Earnings
+3 pts
Model
QTick Engine
SKY track record
Building
0 of 3 resolved
Forensic flags filing red flags · backtested edge where shown●
Revenue-timing languagerevenue-recognition timing language worth watching
Territory — competitor / supplier graph ●
Section readQTICK net read
n/a
Bullish
uncalibrated prior · not a forecast
Our overall read, built from every factor above and shown with the full breakdown. Research, never advice.
Red-Flag X-Ray
Accounting quality · red-flag scan
One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks that look for red flags. Higher is safer — and we show the checks it passed, not just the ones it failed.
This is an empirical base rate: across 25 years of point-in-time history, stocks in this same state (segment, tape phase, volatility, momentum) pulled back this often. The multiple against the segment norm is the comparable number — recent-era levels run hot versus the long grid, so weight the multiple over the bare %. It doesn't predict timing. Research, never advice.
Trend & technicals
The trend read
Data not available.
ProPattern outcomes · derived analysisunlocked
Do these patterns even work?
Derived · what patterns actually did
Every charting site detects the pattern. We publish what happened next — the forward win-rate and sample size at each horizon, including the famous patterns that historically meant nothing.
The readForward win-rates, with sample sizewhere it sits
How often each chart pattern was actually followed by a gain, and how many past cases that's based on — including famous ones that didn't work.
Each bar is the win-rate — how often the price was higher that many days after the pattern appeared. The line marks 50%, a coin flip: green beats it, red is worse than chance.
Pattern10-day21-day63-day
DowntrendBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate46.6%n=732,463
forward win-rate47.5%n=722,035
forward win-rate48.5%n=658,557
slope -0.12 over 40 bars
Double topBarely beats chance
forward win-rate49.2%n=720,496
forward win-rate50.7%n=708,499
forward win-rate53.2%n=663,509
two peaks ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Inverse head and shouldersBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate48.4%n=293,281
forward win-rate49.4%n=288,262
forward win-rate52.0%n=269,260
low below two ≈-equal shoulders — bullish reversal
Ascending triangleBarely beats chance
forward win-rate49.8%n=370,453
forward win-rate51.2%n=363,726
forward win-rate54.3%n=342,517
flat resistance, rising support
Rsi overboughtBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate38.8%n=368,820
forward win-rate42.3%n=362,801
forward win-rate46.1%n=336,191
RSI 82 ≥ 70
↳ In detail
Why we show you the losers
Famous reversal signals like a bullish engulfing have historically closed higher less than half the time at short horizons — below a coin flip. We publish the win-rate and the sample size on every cohort, so a 42-case base rate never masquerades as an 8,500-case one. Objective base rates, not forecasts.
Momentum
Is it leading?
Data not available.
Risk
How bumpy
Data not available.
Failure modes
QTick
Data not available.
ProMacro sensitivity · derived analysisunlocked
How rates push this name
Derived · rates & regime
The 10-year yield is public. Its measured pull on this specific stock — and how it trades around the macro calendar — is the derived layer.
The readFalls with rateswhere it sitsrate-beta · winsorized
How much this stock actually moves when interest rates move, and how it behaves around big economic releases.
Sensitivity to 10Y yield ●
Per +1% in the 10Y yield-110.5%
−120+12
Rates are a Falls with rates for this name
Observations●491 rolling window
Fit · r²●n/a
OLS of daily returns on changes in FRED DGS10 over 491 observations. Low-confidence betas (short N or weak r²) defer to a sector prior rather than print a spurious number.
Behaviour around the macro calendar ●
CPI · vs a typical day0.0×
NFP · vs a typical day0.0×
PCE · vs a typical day0.0×
× = how much more this stock moves on each release day vs a normal day. Amber = outsized (≥1.4×). Context, not a directional call.
Volatility regime ●
GARCH vol · annualized●—
Vol percentile · 1y●n/a
Valuation
Valuation
Is the stock cheap or expensive? Each multiple is graded and explained in plain English.
The readFairwhere it sitsmultiple percentile vs S&P
Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.
Fairly valuedMultiples sit roughly in line with the business's growth and quality — neither a bargain nor expensive.
What you pay for earnings
P/E (trailing)●Price ÷ last 12 months of profit19.6×Fair
Forward P/E●Price ÷ next year's expected profit17.8×Fair
PEG ratio◐P/E adjusted for growth — under 1 is cheap2.23Rich
Earnings yield◔Profit as a % of price, like a bond yield5.11%Fair
Dividend yield●This company pays no dividendNone—
What you pay for the business
Price / Sales◔Price ÷ annual revenue—×n/a
Price / Book◔Price ÷ net assets on the books—×n/a
EV / EBITDA◔Whole-company value ÷ operating cash earningsn/an/a
EV/EBITDA and P/FCF need positive operating cash earnings to mean anything (and don't apply to banks, where leverage is the product) — so we mark them n/a rather than print a misleading number.
Peers today territory performance, for valuation context
Section readValuation
Fair
multiple percentile vs S&P
Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.
Fundamentals
The business
Data not available.
ProCredit & safety · derived analysisunlocked
Distance from insolvency
Derived · structural default
Not the debt total — the model-implied distance from default. A two-equation structural model solved per name, plus a cross-sectional solvency rank.
The read—where it sitspercentile vs solvency universe
How far the company sits from real financial distress, plus how it ranks against peers — more than a debt total tells you.
n/a
σ to default
n/amodel-implied probability of default ●
Validated structural flags
0/4
SafeGreyDistressAltman n/a
Model-implied, not a credit rating.It estimates how far the company's assets would have to fall before it couldn't cover its debts, using a standard model (Merton). Higher is safer. (r = n/a, T = 1y, asset vol from —)
Distance-to-default band ●
distress · 0cautionsafe8σ+
Altman solvency — peer rank ●
Not applicable. Altman Z-Score isn't defined for this business type. The Merton dial above still resolves.
Forensic accounting ●
.
Dilution radar
QTick
Data not available.
Analyst & estimates
The Street
Data not available.
ProEarnings bias · derived analysisunlocked
How this name behaves into the print
Earnings habit
The street's guidance habit, the beat streak graded against names with the same profile, and what the tape does on good news.
The readMixed habitwhere it sitsvalidated base rates · graded out-of-time
Whether the street sandbags this name, how often a beat streak like this persists (with its sample size), and what the tape does with good news.
62%of names with this beat profile beat againn=100,632 · observational
Consensus habit · trailing 8 quarters
Guidance habit●insufficient surprise history
insufficient history (n=0 < 4)
62%of names that had this beat profile went on to beat again (cohort record, not this stock alone)n=100,632 · observational
insufficient history for a bucket — pooled base rate
Post-earnings tape●— no measured announcement reactions on file yet
Implied vs realized move●— insufficient options history
↳ In detail
How to read the habit
The beat probability is an empirical base rate — names with this trailing profile beat again that share of the time, graded out-of-time against climatology. It is a cohort fact, not a forecast of this specific print. Research, never advice.
Smart money & positioning
Smart money
Who holds it, how options lean, and the most recent insider, congressional and 13F transactions.
The read—where it sitspositioning band · not a vote
Who owns it and what insiders and big funds are doing. Steady buying reads positive; heavy selling reads cautious.
Holders
Institutional●1.1%
Insider●0.0%
Institutional flow●—
Fund concentration●—
Activist stake●None on file
Insider & short
Insider 90d net●—
10b5-1 vs discretionary◔scheduledMostly programmatic
Short interest · %float◔0.1%
Short interest · 30d Δ◔—
Options positioning
Put/call · OI●—
Put/call · volume●—
Implied move●next exp.±—
IV skew (25Δ)●—
↳ In detail
What positioning is whispering
Institutional flow data unavailable.
Recent transactions Form 4 + congressional●
FilerSourceActionValueDate
LYALL JONATHAN WADEEVP Sales/Business DevelopmentInsiderSell3685031 Mar
KIMMELL JOSEPH A.EVP, OperationsInsiderSell4395931 Mar
Burkhardt Timothy A.VP & ControllerInsiderSell2894331 Mar
Hough Laurie M.OtherInsiderSell9132831 Mar
Larson Timothy MarkPresident & CEOInsiderSell7638531 Mar
13F gurus · last quarter ●
Renaissance TechnologiesAdded+0.0M sh · $1M
ProSmart-money flow · derived analysisunlocked
Conviction, not just transactions
Derived · who's actually buying
Anyone can list the filings. We weight insider buys by cluster and seniority into a conviction intensity, and read institutional footprint as a velocity.
The readFunds trimmingwhere it sitsintensity, not a probability
Insider buys, weighted by how senior the buyer is and whether several buy at once — plus how fast big funds are moving in or out.
Insider conviction intensity ●
Clustered exec buys · n/an/a / 18.44
018.44
Intensity index — explicitly not a probability
Distinct exec buyers
n/a
Buy clusters · last 90d
90d agotoday
Institutional footprint · QoQ ●
+1new fundsexited−3
Net registered funds -2 this quarter
Institutional velocity●Trimming
↳ In detail
What the flow is saying
No clustered exec buying this window — conviction reads low. Funds are trimming: a net -2 registered holders quarter-over-quarter. Conviction is intensity, not a forecast.
The names in this stock's orbit — how each is trading today, and how they wire together as suppliers, customers and competitors.
The readTracking peersfact
How nearby companies are trading. Moving with them is a sector story; breaking away is specific to this stock.
TickerRelationshipTodayRelative move
SKYThis stock+0.63%
↳ In detail
Outpacing its peers
SKY is +0.6% ahead of the peer average (0.00%). Divergence from the group is where the stock-specific signal lives.
Supply map how the territory wires together●
No mapped supplier, customer or competitor links for SKY yet.
Customer momentum
The customer chain
Data not available.
News & social
The story
Data not available.
What this name did from here
Time machine
Each look-back point: the price then, the move to today, and what was going on — earnings, corporate events, news flow.
The readHigher than a year agofact
The price at each look-back point and the move to today, with what was happening at the time — the per-ticker face of the track record.
Look-backs · vs $71.04 today
3 months ago●$93.48 -24.0% to today
6 months ago●$85.28 -16.7% to today
1 year ago●$65.40 +8.6% to today
3 years ago●$60.43 +17.6% to today
history starts 2023-06-01
↳ In detail
Why we show the rear-view mirror
Every number on this page gets graded by what happens next. The time machine is the same idea pointed backwards: the state of this name at each past date and the move that followed, for any symbol — not a curated highlight reel.
Why not to buy
The case against
Data not available.
Calibration scorecard
Auditable track record
Every rating we publish is fingerprinted, tracked, and resolved in public. Here's how we've actually done.
3
calls logged track record builds as calls resolve (0/8)
Resolved●
0
awaiting first results
Open calls●
3
tracked, unresolved
SKY track record●
building
published once resolved
Section readTrack record
Building
Our public hit-rate, misses included — a track record only means something if it can't be cherry-picked.
Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Price & Signals · QTick